FIFA World Cup 2026 · Live forecast

Who wins the World Cup?

A free, continuously updated forecast. Team strength and every game, group, and knockout probability refresh as results come in — from 100,000 simulations per update. How it works →

Title odds & round-by-round probabilities

Click a column header to sort. Hover or tap a team to trace it through the bracket. Group finish = chance to place 1st/2nd/3rd in the group; Reaches = chance to reach each knockout stage.

Team Grp Elo Group finish Reaches
1st 2nd 3rd R32 R16 QF SF Final Win